- This topic has 32 replies, 7 voices, and was last updated 7 years, 9 months ago by soup.
- AuthorPosts
- February 20, 2017 at 8:44 am #7677IceKeymaster
Every article she writes, she mentions that ‘more and more after discussions with actual football people I think the Browns best option is to draft Trubiski with the first overall pick.’
She never says who the actual football people are.
Is anyone getting on board Mary Kay’s Trubiski Train?
February 20, 2017 at 9:38 am #7679DawgPoundDudeParticipantWell, I’m sure this isn’t the first train she’s led.
It’s the same shit every year. She always has “people”…though I suspect that’s what she calls the voices in her head.
Still, I wouldn’t be opposed to Trubisky myself, provided he rides a horse named Bench all year. Big boy, deadly accurate, and more raw than Mary Kay after her first train.
Really, in terms of QB, it’s gonna be on Hue to decide who he wants and where he wants to take them, even if that means it’s decided that NONE of the QBs floating around get taken. Because, when you really look closely, at best a second-round grade would be given to any of these guys in a “normal” draft.
If we went BPA throughout this draft (and, minus the first pick, traded down to get more picks), I wouldn’t be the least bit opposed. Just…get it right.
February 20, 2017 at 12:19 pm #7680DawgstyleParticipantHonestly, at this point, I think the only thing that is certain is the fact that we need a franchise QB. Our opinions may differ about who that should be, but the underlying fact is essentially uncontested by all involved.
I’m also not seeing why this class is taking so much flack. I think they are miles ahead of last year’s class, and that was the justification for trading out of the #2 spot last year. Now it’s like everyone has amnesia. Deshaun Watson was the next “it” QB just a season ago and the flood of underclassmen has only strengthened the field. Consider several of the following draft classes (first 2 rounds listed):
2006: Vince Young, Matt Leinart, Jay Cutler*, Kellen Clemens, Tavaris Jackson
2007: Jamarcus Russell, Brady Quinn, Kevin Kolb, John Beck, Drew Stanton
2008: Matt Ryan* (at the time called a “poor man’s Brady Quinn”), Joe Flacco, Brian Brohm, Chad Henne
2009: Matt Stafford*, Mark Sanchez, Josh Freeman, Pat White
2010: Sam Bradford*, Tim Tebow, Jimmy Clausen
2011: Cam Newton*, Jake Locker, Blaine Gabbert, Christian Ponder, Andy Dalton, Colin Kaepernick
2012: Andrew Luck*, Robert Griffin III, Ryan Tannehill, Brandon Weeden, Brock Osweiler (Perhaps the best QB in this class, Russell Wilson, was taken in the 3rd round).
2013: EJ Manuel, Geno Smith (I refuse to mark either of these guys as the best of anything)
2014: Blake Bortles, Johnny Manziel, Teddy Bridgewater, Derek Carr*, Jimmy Garoppolo
2015: Jameis Winston*, Marcus Mariota
2016: Jared Goff, Carson Wentz*, Christian Hackenberg (Perhaps the best QB in this class, Dak Prescott, was taken in the 3rd round).
*denotes best in class taken in the first 2 rounds
Most Hyped Class: 2012
Least Hyped class: 2013
Best Class: Arguments can be reasonably made for 2008 and 2013
Worst Class: 2007My point is this, when you look at who was taken in the first two rounds, I don’t think it’s a stretch at all to believe that the 2017 class will almost assuredly be better than 2007, 2010 and 2013 with 2006, 2009, 2014 and 2016 being easily in reach if even 1 QB in this draft is reasonably productive.
It’s all too fashionable to be jaded. The truth is that 4 QBs (Watson, Trubisky, Mahomes, Kizer) will go in the first 2 rounds, while 2 more (Kaaya, Webb) could realistically hear their names called by the end of the second day if they have a strong combine/pro day. There are always QB needy teams. That’s nothing new to this year. The key, as always, is making sure you pick the right guy.
818 mph. 13,723 feet. 3 second burn.
https://youtu.be/hy-3bb1Nqy0February 20, 2017 at 2:29 pm #7681DawgSoldierParticipantEvery article she writes, she mentions that ‘more and more after discussions with actual football people I think the Browns best option is to draft Trubiski with the first overall pick.’
She never says who the actual football people are.
Is anyone getting on board Mary Kay’s Trubiski Train?He’s been my top rated Qb in this class for a while.
http://cloudassetserver.com/STL/posts/185/sp_04_976x0.jpg
February 21, 2017 at 8:51 am #7686Dawg E. DawgParticipantI’ve been saying for awhile that I think the Browns will and should draft Trubisky at #1.
Just seems to me like we’ve been complaining for years about not being in the right position to get the QB we need, now we’re in the position, and everybody’s like “No, not THAT guy. We need to trade down and keep doing what we’ve been doing.”
IMO, the only thing worse than missing on a franchise QB is not taking a chance on one at all, and with picks like Manziel and Weeden, I don’t feel like we’ve really taken a shot at a QB since ’07.
Am I saying Trubisky is a slam dunk? No. Fuck no. He’s not Andrew Luck as a prospect, there’s no doubt. But Luck is the only slam dunk QB to come out since… Peyton in ’98. Everybody else has holes, negatives, downsides. Especially in today’s scouting world where everything gets overanalyzed 12 times over. But he can play. He’s got the size, mobility, arm strength, and accuracy to succeed at the next level. Sign him up.
February 21, 2017 at 9:34 am #7687IceKeymasterStill, I wouldn’t be opposed to Trubisky myself, provided he rides a horse named Bench all year. Big boy, deadly accurate, and more raw than Mary Kay after her first train.
February 21, 2017 at 9:37 am #7688IceKeymasterTrubiski looks like a great physical talent.
That’s about all there is to say about him. Who knows if he has the skills to succeed in the NFL.
The main point I took from DS’s excellent post is that we should grab a QB in the first couple rounds, then grab another in the next couple rounds. The chances of either of those QB’s working out is pretty damn low. Might as well double our odds.
February 21, 2017 at 11:18 am #7690ShooterModeratorOkay couple things.
#1, I agree with Ice, that quote about Cabot was pure savage.
#2 I absolutely think that we need to draft a QB. But not, and I repeat NOT, at 1. At 12, fire away. Grab your guy and be happy. But not at 1. We’re taking Garret at 1 and passing on him is insanity.
#3 Drafting a QB doesn’t do anything to solve our QB issue for the near future, because whoever we take in Trubisky/Watson/Mahomes will have to sit on the bench and learn how to play in the NFL for at least a year, and if we want maximum return on the value, two. If we trot out whoever we draft this September we’re looking at another 1-15 season and will almost assuredly destroy his career or any chance he has at one. That still leaves us with the “who is going to play QB for us for the next two years?” question. Are we going with Kessler? Are we going to overpay Tyrod Taylor to come here and do it? Cutler? Romo? Mike Glennon? Are we going to retain RG3? Are any of those realistic options?
It’s a valid problem.
February 21, 2017 at 12:38 pm #7691Dawg E. DawgParticipantHere’s my main problem with waiting until the #12 spot for a QB:
San Fransisco
Chicago
New York Jets
Buffalo
(Possibly) New OrleansThose teams all could easily draft a QB before #12, and SF, Chicago, and NY have just as big a need as Cleveland. So, you’re basically hoping that they pick wrong a leave a franchise QB on the board for is at 12.
It’s too important and our need is too great to hope all those other teams make a mistake.
February 21, 2017 at 1:52 pm #7693ShooterModeratorHere’s my main problem with waiting until the #12 spot for a QB:
San Fransisco
Chicago
New York Jets
Buffalo
(Possibly) New OrleansThose teams all could easily draft a QB before #12, and SF, Chicago, and NY have just as big a need as Cleveland. So, you’re basically hoping that they pick wrong a leave a franchise QB on the board for is at 12.
It’s too important and our need is too great to hope all those other teams make a mistake.
Meh. Kind of, I guess.
I think it speaks more to how low I feel about the QB’s coming out in this draft. If Kizer, Watson, Trubisky and Mahomes are all off the board by 12, well, so be it. It’s a huge risk on the part of those franchises to take any of those guys honestly, and I think they know that. If they take one of them, they’re passing on some top-flight talent available to do so. We’ve got 100 other holes to fill on this team anyway, so you go BPA and be happy with who you take there. That said, the reality is that 1 or more of them are still going to be there.
And again, like I said, it still wouldn’t solve our QB problem short term. None of those guys are capable of starting in the NFL next September, so, who’s our QB gonna be? Plus, you’re passing up on a phenomenal, franchise-changing, tone-setting, generational talent on defense to pick of them. Sorry, the juice isn’t worth the squeeze there.
Now, if you want to trade the #12 for Garappolo…….. Then you solve all 3 problems in one move: Garrett at 1, Franchise QB at 12, and he can start in September.
February 21, 2017 at 1:53 pm #7695ShooterModeratorremoved
February 21, 2017 at 1:54 pm #7696ShooterModeratorRemoved
February 21, 2017 at 1:56 pm #7697ShooterModeratorremoved for duplicity
February 21, 2017 at 2:00 pm #7701ShooterModeratorI have no idea how or why I posted that 4 times lol.
February 21, 2017 at 6:08 pm #7707Dawg E. DawgParticipantThat said, the reality is that 1 or more of them are still going to be there.
And again, like I said, it still wouldn’t solve our QB problem short term. None of those guys are capable of starting in the NFL next September, so, who’s our QB gonna be? Plus, you’re passing up on a phenomenal, franchise-changing, tone-setting, generational talent on defense to pick of them. Sorry, the juice isn’t worth the squeeze there.Pulled out the 2 things I wanted to address:
First, I completely agree bare minimum ONE of those 4 will be there. If you grade all 4 of the QBs you mentioned equally (and I think they’re pretty close in your book) then you’re strategy is perfect. I don’t grade theme equally.
I prefer Trubisky, then Watson, then Mahomes, then Kizer, and I really don’t like Kizer at all, especially in the first round. Now, all 4 of those will not be available at 12. Am I comfortable picking from a subset? No, because I’m picking from guys other teams passed up on, and I’d prefer to get MY guy.
The second part is the “once in a generational talent” bit. Garret is good, yes, and a great prospect. But DEs can turn out to be busts just as much as QBs. Jadaveon Clowney came with the same billing, and in year 3 (THREE!!!) he set a career high with just 6.5 sacks. Last year he had 4 playing across from JJ Watt. I’m not calling him a bust, but those aren’t huge impact, HOF numbers. Do I have to bring up former Browns like Mingo? Gerrard Warren? Courtney Brown? Point is, Garrett is not bulletproof.
February 21, 2017 at 8:20 pm #7708ShooterModeratorFirst, I completely agree bare minimum ONE of those 4 will be there.
I’d be willing to bet 2 of them will be. Of the QB needy teams, a few of them are going to address their QB issue through FA by signing/resigning Romo, Cutler, Kapernick, or Mike Glennon. Toss into the fray that the Dolphins have a serious question to answer before March 1st about Tannehill that could put him on the market, and the possibility of any of these teams making a trade with New England for Jimmy G, that will remove a couple of them for the need to draft one. Add that onto the fact some teams might not be so gung-ho about taking such a risk with one of these guys while passing on a different impact player available……..I’m saying that at least 2 of them will be there.
If you grade all 4 of the QBs you mentioned equally (and I think they’re pretty close in your book)
Sort of. I put the 3 of Watson/Trubisky/Mahomes in one, and Kizer in another.
and I really don’t like Kizer at all, especially in the first round.
Me neither. I don’t even like him in the 3rd. The other 3 are way, way beyond him.
Am I comfortable picking from a subset? No, because I’m picking from guys other teams passed up on, and I’d prefer to get MY guy.
That’s a sound thought process, and I can’t fault the line of thinking. I’ve stated countless times on this board and all the iterations that came before it that if you like a guy, you draft that guy. Period. “Where” you take him be damned. If you’re sold, then buy. It’s that simple.
But DEs can turn out to be busts just as much as QBs.
True. But it depends on the level that you’re comparing him at. If you wanted to equate him to a QB, you’re argument is that he could be an RG3 or Jamarcus Russel. My point, is that I would rate him at Andrew Luck or Matt Stafford. Russel and Griffin were drafted at 1 with a lot of hype, but also a lot of questions. Stafford and Luck were pretty much “yeah this is a no-brainer”. It’s not often that guys who are “no-brianers” turn into busts. Rare in fact.
Garret is a no-brainer. He’s the Peyton Manning of this draft.
Jadaveon Clowney came with the same billing, and in year 3 (THREE!!!) he set a career high with just 6.5 sacks. Last year he had 4 playing across from JJ Watt. I’m not calling him a bust, but those aren’t huge impact, HOF numbers.
Jadaveon Clowney was so overrated in that draft it was nauseating. He shot up draft boards for one, and I stress one, hit in college. One. That Michigan sack. Other than that he was average, and had a lot of questions. About his knees, and his level of effort etc.
Garrett doesn’t possess any of those question, and for the few out there that bring similar ones up, not anywhere near to the level Clowney. Not by a mile. There were a looooooooooot of people who felt Clowney going that high was a super, uber reach. Aside from a few dissenters, it’s nearly unanimous that Garret is the class, of this class.
Do I have to bring up former Browns like Mingo? Gerrard Warren? Courtney Brown? Point is, Garrett is not bulletproof.
Courtney Brown, Gerard Warren, and Barkevious Mingo all sucked, Garret doesn’t. And all those guys were rated by morons just as highly or higher than the idiots that rated and drafted Clowney that high. None of those people mentioned have jobs anymore, wanna guess why?
There’s no way in hell that the Browns are taking a QB at 1. Not a chance.
February 21, 2017 at 8:22 pm #7709ShooterModeratorI just now realized my error that RG3 went at 1. Yes, he went at 2 behind Luck. But you get my point.
February 21, 2017 at 11:34 pm #7710DawgstyleParticipantIt’s a huge risk on the part of those franchises to take any of those guys honestly, and I think they know that.
Says the guy who would trade for Garoppolo, who was drafted at the end of the second round in 2014 from a spread offense and has literally seen two starts before getting injured. I mean, I get that you favor Garoppolo (I don’t even think your nuts for doing so), but can we be real for a minute? Every QB, whether draft prospect or trade candidate, is risky. There is no Peyton Manning in this draft. There is no Drew Brees to New Orleans available by trade or Free Agency either. The closest thing is Romo, and his injury history is extensive.
That said, if we could get Jimmy G. for our first second rounder and draft “the best available QB at #12”, be that Watson, Trubisky or Mahomes, I’d feel thousands of times better about our QB situation heading into 2017 than I would with only ANY one of those guys (including Mahomes). I think it’s apparent that RG3 can’t be the answer. Kessler is a serviceable back up and potential Bridge. Garoppolo could be a franchise QB or the next in a long list of failures that have backed up Brady (there really isn’t enough game film to know one way or the other). Watson/Trubisky/Mahomes as the “heir apparent”, if Jimmy G. flames out or Kessler simply can’t go makes the most sense to me and sets us up for a potential Brees/Rivers, Favre/Rodgers scenario in 3 years.
My issue is that it seems like New England wants a first rounder for Jimmy G. and there’s simply nothing other than opinion to base it on. He could be a HOFer. He could be complete garbage. Guessing which today, even correctly, is still guessing. I realize that same logic applies to Watson/Trubisky/Mahomes, and that is why I would prefer to see us address the problem with numbers instead of hope and blind luck (of which we’ve traditionally had none).
818 mph. 13,723 feet. 3 second burn.
https://youtu.be/hy-3bb1Nqy0February 22, 2017 at 10:13 am #7713ShooterModeratorHere’s my main reasoning for acquiring Garappolo.
Is there risk? Of course. Just as much as you’d get with any QB available to draft this year. Yes, he had some questions coming out of college, like these guys this year. Yes, he came from the spread/air raid, like these guys this year. He could be great, or, yes he could suck ass and add to that long list of failures behind Brady.
Buuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuut, here’s the difference. With all the risks being equal (and I believe they are), Jimmy G has one advantage that those other guys do not. He doesn’t have to sit on the bench for 2 years to learn how to play QB in the NFL like they will, because he’s already done it. All those other guys would have to sit and be seasoned before they can even step on an NFL field. Jimmy doesn’t, because he already has been. 2 years of NFL film study. 2 years of offensive meetings with Josh McCown. 2 years in a QB room with Tom Brady. Those guys we could draft don’t have any of that.
And while yes, he’s only thrown 59 passes in the NFL, that’s 59 more passes in the NFL than those other guys have thrown. He’s started a couple games and had some playing time. That’s more experience than any of the guys we could draft have.
Do I personally think that Garappolo is better than any of those guys? No, I’m not saying that. Maybe he is maybe he isn’t, I have no idea. My point, simply, is that the waiting period to be an NFL QB is over for Jimmy. If we get him, he’s starting in September. If we draft draft one of the QB’s available, we’re waiting until at the very least next year, most likely longer.
I’m sick of waiting.
If you’re willing to take a risk in the 1st round on a QB, why not just say fuck it and grab the guy who you know can and will be starting, confidently, in September? Why wait? If Jimmy G is a bust, he’s a bust now and we’ll know. It’s better than throwing out some shitty QB’s that take us to 5-11 for the next two years only to find out in 2019 that Watson is a bust.
That’s my logic behind my desire for Garappolo. It’s not so much that I’m sold on him, it’s just that from a QB perspective, I’d rate him, Watson, Mahomes, and Trubisky equal. One of them has been in the NFL for two years, and all of them will cost you a 1st rounder.
Advantage > Garappolo.
It’s not that I think Garappolo is some 2nd coming or anything, it’s just math.
February 22, 2017 at 3:19 pm #7714DawgstyleParticipantIt’s not that I think Garappolo is some 2nd coming or anything, it’s just math.
See, the key to being successful at math is understanding the assumptions and quantifying the correct variables while recognizing that correlation does not imply causation.
The question you’ve not answered (or apparently even asked) is why Jimmy Garoppolo fell to the bottom of the second round. Let’s take a look at his scouting report.
WEAKNESSES: Is a tad undersized with small hands and short arms. Uses a three-quarters delivery that could lead to batted balls. Works heavily out of the shotgun in a spread offense, and footwork could require adjustment to working from under center. Does not always feel pressure in the pocket. Does not rip the deep out or drive the ball with high RPMs. Undershoots and often hangs the deep ball. Makes receivers work for the ball downfield, and deep accuracy could stand to improve. Makes a lot of simple, one-look reads and was not heavily challenged by consistent pressure or complex looks in the Ohio Valley Conference.
None of those weaknesses are going to be resolved from sitting on the bench behind Brady. Sitting on the bench didn’t make him grow. It won’t help him feel pressure in the pocket. It won’t increase his arm strength or cause him to spin the ball any better. From the two games I watched, none of those things have changed (even you were only able to find one or two throws that wowed you in two games). It’s not just that he’s only played two games, he played two games at the beginning of the season, in mild weather where his weaknesses wouldn’t be exposed.
In short, Jimmy G. was a late second round pick because Jimmy G. was a late second round talent. Switching from New England’s system to ours is going to set him back just like Osweiler going to the Texans set him back. Per his scouting report, in college he “makes a lot of simple, one-look reads and was not heavily challenged by consistent pressure or complex looks” and that is what the New England offense is known for. Contrast that with Hue Jackson’s system, which Mike Zimmer called “A pain in the rear-end because he’s got the physical running game, he tries to throw the ball vertically down the field” and I think it’s safe to say that Jimmy G. is not a good fit for Hue’s system. That’s why much of the focus has been on Trubisky and Mahomes. They have the physical attributes to play in Hue’s system.
That said, Hue did a bang up job with pop gun Andy Dalton, and he has shown the ability to adapt his system to his players strengths. That said, why would you settle for a guy you know you’ll have to modify your system for when there are a couple on the board who have the physical abilities necessary to flourish in it?
And while yes, he’s only thrown 59 passes in the NFL, that’s 59 more passes in the NFL than those other guys have thrown. He’s started a couple games and had some playing time. That’s more experience than any of the guys we could draft have.
That’s also far less experience than Kessler, who has the same build and a similar set of physical attributes and is entering his second year of Hue’s offense, has. I see no compelling reason to switch from Kessler to Garoppolo and even less to trade away a pick that could be used to pick a QB with all the physical attributes to succeed in Hue’s system for a QB who never has and never will.
To that end, while I think Mahomes is the better choice, I think Trubisky is also a better fit for Hue’s offense than Jimmy G. As DawgSoldier rightly pointed out, Sitting behind Brady has done nothing for any of the back ups that preceded Garoppolo, and there’s no reason to believe that has changed. Being Tom Brady’s back up is like being Bill Belichick’s assistant coach. Yes it means you’ve won and trained under a “winner”, but for whatever reason it has not prepared you for life on your own.
I still don’t think you’re nuts for wanting Jimmy G. I do think your argument about a QB having to sit for 2-3 years is though. Newton, Prescott, Mariotta and to a lesser degree Bortles have all had success coming into the NFL from the Spread. SUre, it’s nice to sit a guy for a few years to let him develop, but that luxury is reserved for teams that have legitimate starting QBs, not franchises that are still looking for the answer. As Prescott proved, if you get the “right guy” he’ll find ways to win despite the reasons not to.
So at the end of the day, if Sashi and Hue decide Trubisky is their guy, I can get behind him because I know he has the physical attributes (assuming the combine reveals no glaring weaknesses) to succeed. The whole point of having coaches is to develop the mental aspects of a player’s game. If you’re correct about what sitting behind Brady for 3 years means in terms of his readiness, it also means that Jimmy G. is near his peak. If we draft a QB in the first it will be because Hue and Sashi think he might be great. If we trade for Jimmy G., it will be because they think he’s probably good enough. And as a Browns fan who wants this team to win it all, good enough, well…simply isn’t good enough.
818 mph. 13,723 feet. 3 second burn.
https://youtu.be/hy-3bb1Nqy0February 22, 2017 at 4:47 pm #7715ShooterModeratorSee, the key to being successful at math is understanding the assumptions and quantifying the correct variables while recognizing that correlation does not imply causation.
In short, Jimmy G. was a late second round pick because Jimmy G. was a late second round talent.
So was Derek Carr. And Jimmy has bigger hands than Carr does.
February 22, 2017 at 5:01 pm #7716ShooterModeratorThe question you’ve not answered (or apparently even asked) is why Jimmy Garoppolo fell to the bottom of the second round.
Why did Drew Brees fall to the bottom of the 2nd round? Why did Aaron Rodgers fall to the bottom of the 1st? Why did Andy Dalton fall to the 2nd? Why did Derek Carr fall to the 2nd? Why did Dak Prescott fall to the 3rd? Why did Russel Wilson fall to the 3rd? Why did Tom Brady fall to the 6th? Why was Kurt Warner undrafted?
Loooooota negative things said about all these guys. Seems to me it was all uh, bullshit.
What’s your point?
February 22, 2017 at 10:33 pm #7721IceKeymasterIf you really truly want to fix the QB situation you have to be willing to spend on it. That means trading for Romo and drafting a QB HIGH in this draft.
Now who is willing to give up what it will take to truly fix the position?
I also didn’t mention that the QB you draft has to not suck. Because he will be playing sometime in 2017.
February 22, 2017 at 11:03 pm #7722DawgstyleParticipantSo was Derek Carr. And Jimmy has bigger hands than Carr does.
And Carr has a stronger arm than Jimmy does.
Why did Drew Brees fall to the bottom of the 2nd round? Why did Aaron Rodgers fall to the bottom of the 1st? Why did Andy Dalton fall to the 2nd? Why did Derek Carr fall to the 2nd? Why did Dak Prescott fall to the 3rd? Why did Russel Wilson fall to the 3rd? Why did Tom Brady fall to the 6th? Why was Kurt Warner undrafted?
Loooooota negative things said about all these guys. Seems to me it was all uh, bullshit.
What’s your point?
My point is this, when the knocks against a QB are mental (leadership, ability to read the defense, etc.) the QB MIGHT develop those attributes with coaching. When the knocks are physical, those things rarely change. Hand size, arm strength, natural throwing mechanics – as they say, a zebra can’t change its stripes. Sure, a thoroughbred may choose not to run, but it has the ability. No matter how hard the zebra works and studies, it will get shown up by the first thoroughbred that puts forth the minimum effort.
Mahomes, Trubisky – they’re both thoroughbreds. Sure, they may choose not to run. They may fail for 1,000 other reasons, but they have the physical ability. Jimmy G. is a quarter horse. He’s quick, looks the part and may even hang in the first quarter mile. He’s not going to last the full race. He’s Chad Pennington, Colt McCoy, Brian Hoyer, Alex Smith…take your pick. Good guy. Great attitude. He makes you want to believe in him. He makes you want to root for him. We want guys like that to succeed. They’re great morality tales. It just never happens. It’s like a minimum height requirement on a ride. You can be fat, skinny, the minimum height to 7′ tall, but if you don’t meet the minimum requirements, you can’t ride.
I’m tired of the noble losers. We need a thoroughbred. Jimmy G. is going to run out of the gate. Every time. He might even lead for a bit (that’s what makes QBs like that so appealing), but he can’t win for one simple fact: he’s not built for it.
818 mph. 13,723 feet. 3 second burn.
https://youtu.be/hy-3bb1Nqy0February 22, 2017 at 11:05 pm #7723ShooterModeratorOoooh, Ice.
Can’t jump on that train with ya bud, ya kinda melted on me there.
#1, Romo isn’t going to be traded, he’ll be cut. It’s more financially solent for the Cowboys to do that. They’ll drop his cap hit by over 7 million dollars by doing so, and can spread it over 2 years. If they trade him, they get hit with the full 24.5 million, this year.
#2 After he’s cut, why the FUCK would Romo want to come here? There’s no way that happens. He’s going to the Jets, Broncos, or Bears.
#3 Romo!!!?? You want ROMO?!!! I’m hoping that, and I think that it is, this is tongue in cheek. Romo is/was a great QB don’t get me wrong. The problem is, when he gets hit, uh, he fall down go boom. Most teams reasonably expect their QB’s to get up and play the next play. Romo goes down and misses the next 11 games. If you’re really willing to trade for him, uh, I dunno, can we trade a 2021 7th round pick? Cause that’s all I’d give for him in a trade.
At least say Cutler.
February 22, 2017 at 11:14 pm #7724ShooterModeratorWhen the knocks are physical, those things rarely change. Hand size, arm strength, natural throwing mechanics –
Knock on Aaron Rodgers. Too small. Russel Wilson. Too Small. Drew Brees. Too small. Derek Carr. Little hands.
Tom Brady looked like this:
All I’m sayin man is many many times, that shit don’t matter. None of the guys I mentioned are or ever were, thoroughbreds. There’s a good chance everyone I mentioned makes it to the hall of fame. Half of them are already locks.
I’ll take a “little” Drew Brees as a noble loser any day of the week. Sweet Jesus, look at that picture of Brady again. Look at it! That’s the fuckin GOAT dude!
And I still think you’re not looking at the risk vs. reward fully.
Garappolo starts in September. If he sucks, and is a bust, we’ll know it by November.
If Trubisky sucks, or is a bust, we won’t know that until November of 2019. Because after he sits for a year (which he absolutely will have to), even if he sucks an entire season in 2018, we’re all going to be in the “hey he’s just getting started”, “growing pains”, “gotta let him work it on the field” tryout portion of his career. Then where are we? In the same spot, except 2 years later, and looking at least 2 more years down the road. That’s 5 years.
I don’t want to wait 5 years. I want a QB now, and if he sucks I want to know that now as well.
February 23, 2017 at 2:51 pm #7728DawgstyleParticipantKnock on Aaron Rodgers. Too small. Russel Wilson. Too Small. Drew Brees. Too small. Derek Carr. Little hands.
But you’re missing one important point: They all had sufficient arm strength. Jimmy G. does not. That was the knock on him out of college. One more time (from NFL.com so you know this isn’t just my unfounded opinion):
STRENGTHS Has a very quick trigger and good wrist snap that translates to a smooth throwing motion and clean, compact delivery (no windup). Lightning release quickness. Urgent decision maker. Sells play-action. Athletic enough to slide in the pocket and buy time with his feet while keeping his eyes downfield. Good anticipation — throws his receivers open. Can change ball speeds and drop it in a bucket. Does not take unnecessary sacks and will dump the ball. Will deliver the ball looking down the barrel of a gun. Tough-minded and poised in the pocket — can withstand a hit and pop back up. Highly competitive. Smart, respected, vocal team leader. Very durable, experienced, four-year starter. Good football intelligence.
WEAKNESSES Is a tad undersized with small hands and short arms. Uses a three-quarters delivery that could lead to batted balls. Works heavily out of the shotgun in a spread offense, and footwork could require adjustment to working from under center. Does not always feel pressure in the pocket. Does not rip the deep out or drive the ball with high RPMs. Undershoots and often hangs the deep ball. Makes receivers work for the ball downfield, and deep accuracy could stand to improve. Makes a lot of simple, one-look reads and was not heavily challenged by consistent pressure or complex looks in the Ohio Valley Conference.
Jimmy G. can’t do the one thing a successful QB in the NFL needs to be able to do: make all the throws. That (with a few exceptions) never improves. COuld he succeed in a timing based offense? Probably. The West COast? Sure. In Hue Jackson’s scheme? No. Hue is a run heavy, push the ball down the field kind of QB. “But he did it with Andy Dalton and his questionable arm strength” I can hear you saying. True, but he had A.J. Green and Tyler Eifert to bail Dalton out on the jump balls.
You’re fighting nature here. Jimmy G. does not have elite arm strength. He does not have an accurate deep ball. You know who does? Ben Roethlisberger and Joe Flacco, and that’s why both of their teams continue to compete while the “Red Rider, errr….Rifle” continues to be irrelevant in the post season.
There are primary and secondary talents for QB. Secondary talents might explain the reason for a primary talent (i.e. weight, height and hand size might explain why one QB throws the ball harder than a guy who weighs less, is shorter and has smaller hands, all other things being equal). However, the secondary talents don’t guarantee the desired primary talent exists. At 6’5″ tall and 230lbs, you might expect Peyton Manning to throw the ball harder than the 5’11” 206lb Russell Wilson. Yet that’s not the case, as their arm strength is comparable, though slightly skewed in Wilson’s favor. It doesn’t matter that Russell Wilson is smaller (at least as it relates to arm strength – batted balls MIGHT be another story) because he has comparable arm strength and deep ball accuracy. The same is not true of Garoppolo. It’s not his fault, it’s simply nature.
Compare Garoppolo’s scouting report with that of Brett Hundley, who has been in a similar situation to Garoppolo’s behind Aaron Rodgers (and whose franchise has a history of producing relevant NFL talent from the back up QB spot):
STRENGTHS Well-built with frame sturdy enough to handle rigors of the position. Asked to get through progressions and make decisions. Willing to stand in and take the hit when he zeroes in on his target. Willing to get take downfield shot and give his receiver a chance to make the play. Has the ability to maneuver inside of pocket to buy time. Poised enough from pocket. Has adequate release and enough arm when he sits down on his throws. Above-average foot quickness to escape pocket. Hit 57-yard playaction touchdown from under center against Washington in 2014 (just seven attempts under center all year). Good sense of pocket pressure and is decisive when he decides to bolt. Dangerous as a runner with enough speed to hit a big play on the ground. Dual-threat ability increases his effectiveness in red zone. Displays his toughness almost every time out.
WEAKNESSES Hasn’t shown an ability to win from the pocket yet. Protected by playaction-based short passing game that held linebackers and cornerbacks at bay. Internal clock is a mess. Has marginal anticipation, and appears to be lacking in ability to read defenses and create a pre-snap plan. Slow getting through progressions, taking 125 sacks in three years. Inconsistent weight transfer on throws, which affects accuracy (throws sail) and velocity. Needs to reset feet when swiveling from side to side while scanning for next target. Gets crowded in pocket rather than sliding to open space. Short-arms too many throws. Ineffective, inaccurate passer outside of pocket with lowest completion percentage in Pac-12 when scrambling (32.6 percent). Misses opportunities to climb pocket while keeping eyes downfield rather than taking off as a runner.
Now, based off of those scouting reports, which QB do you think is going to be better served by learning behind another QB and receiving NFL coaching? The already smart guy who is undersized and lacks arm strength, or the guy with poor footwork who struggles to read defenses?
My money is on the latter. Jimmy G will start quicker, but a guy like Brett Hundley will last longer in the league (McCown embodies this).
I guess the main difference in the philosophy is that while your goal is to fail quickly, my goal is to actually win. And for the record Ice, I’m on board with your plan (in theory). While Romo plays at a high level while healthy, he’s not healthy enough to play at a high level for any amount of time. Sure, lightning could strike and Romo could stay healthy for 5 years, leading the Browns to a Super Bowl, but I think the more likely outcome is that he takes the Jake Delhomme route and the vision of having a pro bowl QB under center never materializes. That said, make a reasonable trade for Garoppolo (despite his weaknesses) or Hundley and draft a QB high and I can back that in practice as well.
818 mph. 13,723 feet. 3 second burn.
https://youtu.be/hy-3bb1Nqy0February 23, 2017 at 3:47 pm #7729DawgSoldierParticipantI am wit DawgStyle on this. Jimmy G. has shown very little that he is worth trading for let alone asking him to the Franchise signal caller.
In fact I would like to know why he is a better option than Kesseler as i don’t see much difference between the 2.
http://cloudassetserver.com/STL/posts/185/sp_04_976x0.jpg
February 23, 2017 at 6:30 pm #7730IceKeymaster#3 Romo!!!?? You want ROMO?!!! I’m hoping that, and I think that it is, this is tongue in cheek. Romo is/was a great QB don’t get me wrong. The problem is, when he gets hit, uh, he fall down go boom. Most teams reasonably expect their QB’s to get up and play the next play. Romo goes down and misses the next 11 games.
@Shooter, you’re hitting me for wanting a proven QB who’s injury prone, and then suggesting instead we use a high 1st rounder for an unproven QB who had 2 NFL starts then got injured.
February 23, 2017 at 7:25 pm #7732ShooterModeratoryou’re hitting me for wanting a proven QB who’s injury prone, and then suggesting instead we use a high 1st rounder for an unproven QB who had 2 NFL starts then got injured.
Yes.
February 24, 2017 at 12:14 am #7738Dawg E. DawgParticipantLook, I’ve actually defended Romo’s talent on multiple, multiple occasions. But why in the world would we sign him? Seriously? Our offensive line couldn’t protect him from the whitecaps of Lake Erie, let alone an NFL pass rusher. He would absolutely go the way of Delhomme lasting 3 quarters of a game, or RG3 lasting 1 full game, or McCown lasting 1 game, before getting some ridiculous 10 week injury. And it would cost 15 million to get him, at least. No. It’s not happening, and if you think it is you need to drink a big tall glass of wake-the-fuck-up.
Garrapolo. He’s young, he’s seasoned, he’s primed for the best years of his life. I get it. Jump on now when you’ve got the chance!!!! But I just don’t see it when I look at his (albeit very limited) film. You know what I see? He’s overthrowing the short and intermediate routes, but in the limited film often the WRs bail him out and make good catches that aren’t sustainable over a season. The deep ball?? It’s not in the same zip code. I think I counted 3 times when he missed tbe WR by a metric mile. His TD pass to Bennet was beautiful, but does that counter the rest? Not for me.
We have to draft a QB. Have to. Seriously, look at how every NFL team with a decent QB does it. They draft their QB. After a quick check, New Orleans, maybe Arizona, and maybe Kansas City are the only teams to get their QBs outside the draft. 3/32. New Orleans got theirs because of a fluke injury situation that will not repeat, and Zona and Kc both got theirs at the back end of their mediocre careers.
The chances of getting a franchise QB from another team are slim to none. It has happened (Steve Young) but it’s sooooo rare it’s not even worth considering as a possibility.
If you acknowledge your goal is an 18 year franchise QB, and the draft is the way that you HAVE to get them, why not get the best one there is, because your going nowhere without him?
Trubisky is THE GUY. The only thing he could do to prove more is to play more games. Guess what? That just means he has that many more games left to play for the Browns! Stop trying to outthink it and get on board!
February 24, 2017 at 6:58 am #7739Dawg E. DawgParticipantThat messaged was sponsored by Jameson, lol. I should add that the part about teams getting their QBs from the draft, I was talking specifically about teams with established QBs, and not considering guys like Tyrod Taylor or jay cutler, etc
February 27, 2017 at 12:56 pm #7771soupParticipantDidn’t this nitwit lead the Manziel train?
13 games in college. That’s a HUGE red flag. I wouldn’t go near Akili Smi…er… Trubitsky with a 1st round pick.
Kizer, I wouldn’t touch him either. He wasn’t good in college. No need to waste a first round pick on a guy because of his “tools.” I own some saws, hammers, screwdrivers, etc. Doesn’t mean I can build a house.
Watson is the only one, IMO, who I wouldn’t be mad if they took – that said – I don’t want him at #1 or really even #12 (unless every safety that’s good is off the board). He’s too much of an RG3 clone in my eyes.
Freedom!!!
- AuthorPosts
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.